Assessing Food Security and SDG Goal 2 (Zero Hunger) in Pakistan

SDG Goal 2 is Zero hunger till 2030. The UN Sustainable Development Report states that “Current estimates show that nearly 690 million people are hungry, or 8.9 percent of the world population – up by 10 million people in one year and by nearly 60 million in five years. The majority of the world’s undernourished – 381 million – are still found in Asia. According to the World Food Program, 135 million suffer from acute hunger largely due to man-made conflicts, climate change and economic downturns. The COVID-19 pandemic could now double that number, putting an additional 130 million people at risk of suffering acute hunger by the end of 2020.”

According to Pakistan SDG Report 2021, 1.8% of the population in Pakistan was facing severe food insecurity (SDG 2.1). While prevalence of stunting in children (SDG 2.2.1) was 37.6% in Pakistan, out of which, 30% was in the Punjab, 50% in Sindh, 40% in KPK, 47% In Baluchistan, 47% in GB, and 39.3% in AJK. Prevalence of Malnutrition in children (SDG 2.2.1) was 7.1% in Pakistan, out of which, 4% in Punjab, 11.7% in Sindh, 7.5% in KPK, 18.3% In Baluchistan, 1.1% in GB, and 6.4 in AJK. Prevalence of anaemia among women between 15-49 years (SDG 2.3), 35.5% among pregnant and 43% among non-pregnant in Pakistan, out of which, 36.1% among pregnant and 41.3% among non-pregnant in the Punjab, 38.2% among pregnant and 45.7% among non-pregnant in Sindh, 14.3% among pregnant and 34% among non-pregnant in KPK, 53.9% among pregnant and 61.8% among non-pregnant in Baluchistan, 29.6% among pregnant and 36.1% among non-pregnant in GB, and 34.8 among pregnant and 56.4% among non-pregnant in AJK.

The global indicators based on the latest UN data show that Pakistan’s population has reached almost 230 million, 30% of this population is children below the age of 18 and another 10.0% are above the age of 60 years (dependents). This leaves an adult population between 19 years and 60 years of age at 138 million (working age population). According to the World Bank data, the total labour force of Pakistan in 2021-2022 was estimated at 73.4 million, while the “Unemployment Rate in Pakistan is expected to reach 12.0 percent by the end of 2022” or 9.0 million unemployed.

That would mean that 73.3 million of this adult population is either unemployed or not part of the labour force in Pakistan and is dependent on the productivity of the 64.7 million. The point being made is that there are 230 million mouths to feed and only 64.7 million working population in the country in 2022. ILO data shows that 37.0% (27.2 million) of the labour force is employed in agriculture, producing food for the population and raw materials for industry.

According to (FAO in Pakistan) the total land area of Pakistan is approximately 800, thousand square kilometres, or about 80 million hectares, out of which only 22.0 million hectares (27.5%), are under cultivation. The rest of the land area is cultivable waste, densely populated forests, and rangelands. Land productivity in the farming sector, especially for food crops is one of the lowest in the world and one of the lowest in the region. Agriculture contributes only 22% to the GDP of Pakistan. Out of which 2% comes from forests and 12% from cattle farming and fisheries. Only 8% of GDP comes from farming – 3% from cash crops (Cotton, Sugarcane and Tabacco), 3% from major food crops (Wheat, Maze and Rice) and another 2% from minor crops. Food insecurity can be measured as, when we divide the total food crops produced in Pakistan in 2021-2022 with 230 million population, we get per capita: wheat 0.11 tons (26.4 million tons divided by 230 million population); rice 0.04 tons (9.3 million tons divided by 230 million population); total food grain 1.55 tons (46.7 million tons divided by 230 million population). The picture is even dismal when we divide 53 million tons of milk, 2.46 million tons of beef, 0.8 million tons of mutton, 20 million tons of poultry meat and 22.5 billion eggs produced in Pakistan in 2021-2022 source Economic Survey of Pakistan 2021-2022 Eco-2.pdf.

If we want to reduce hunger, malnutrition and stunting in Pakistan and if we want to reduce dependence on foreign imports like wheat and cooking oil then the federal and provincial governments in Pakistan have to seriously look into food patterns and methods of import substitution through self-reliance, that are not affected by climate change and other calamities and will have to devise long-term sustainable for agriculture and food security policies that ensure technology, water resources, better seed and investments into better and modern techniques of food production, farming, fish and cattle farming so that Pakistan can cater for a healthy, nourished and productive population and can mitigate the issues pertaining to hunger and malnutrition (SDG 2) for a zero hunger policy by 2030. Also, the prices of basic food items in the country will have to be reduced or rationed through some form of ration cards for the poor and the school-going children so that a majority of the population can have access to nourishment and a daily diet that exceeds minimum calories for a sustainable living. Although lungerkhanas (free food stalls), Khas Programs and Benazir Income Support programs were in place by the PTI government in order to reduce hunger and poverty of the destitute in the country, these programs are not enough and are a burden on the government’s budget and the tax policy, therefore people should be taught to become productive and to produce their own food through government and community-initiated programs and skill enhancement programs, especially in agriculture.

Dr Qais Aslam, a former chairman of the Department of Economics at the Govt College University of Lahore, is now Professor of Economics at the University of Central Punjab in Lahore. With 36 years of teaching and research experience, he is author of two books and numerous research articles on Pakistan’s economy and a regular participant in TV talk shows on socio-political and economic issues. He can be reached at [email protected] and on Twitter @drqais4.