Will the US launch a major attack on Iran?

Tensions between the United States and Iran are at their peak. It is being said that the United States might launch a major attack on Iran, while Iran is prepared to face any kind of situation. In early November 2026, the United States carried out airstrikes on various parts of Iran, including Qeshm Island. While these attacks did not cause significant damage to Iran, the country managed to shoot down 16 American drones—and capture some others—over the course of these two months. Following threats of attacks from the United States, instructions regarding nuclear attacks and safety measures for citizens were issued on Iranian state television. In an interview, U.S. President Donald Trump claimed that if Iran carries out another attack, the next U.S. response will be five times greater than the previous one. However, they did not explicitly announce a nuclear attack. Nevertheless, observers interpret this action as a nuclear attack. American commentator Tucker Carlson has expressed concern that certain quarters are pushing for actions that could lead to the risk of a global war. Meanwhile, U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth states that Iran has been weakened as a result of the war. To date, no decision or plan regarding a formal nuclear strike on Iran has been confirmed by the United States or the White House; all such reports are based on the current state of war and political statements. Meanwhile, the United States has assured Qatar—which is acting as a mediator between the U.S. and Iran—that no major action will be taken against Iran. Meanwhile, Iranian officials are consistently demanding that the United States accept Iran’s seven demands. We are not at war with anyone; the measures Iran has taken thus far have been from a defensive position. The aggression has been committed not by Iran, but by the United States and Israel. Iran demands that the losses it has sustained in the war thus far be compensated, that economic sanctions against it be lifted, that the naval blockade be ended, that its frozen assets be restored, and that the United States dismantle its bases in the Middle East. Qatar has stated that its mediation efforts are ongoing, aimed at resolving differences between the United States and Iran and preventing further escalation of tensions in the region. Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani has claimed significant progress in the negotiations and expressed confidence regarding the prospect of reaching an agreement. According to Al Jazeera TV, the Qatari Prime Minister stated that Doha is working to prevent the situation from spiraling out of control through communications and diplomatic efforts between the two countries. Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani stated that the US administration remains willing to seek a diplomatic solution to the issue, even after the midterm elections. According to them, Washington’s interest in reaching an agreement has not changed, despite the elections. The Qatari Prime Minister stated that significant progress has been made so far toward a potential agreement between the United States and Iran. He expressed hope that, as a result of ongoing diplomatic efforts, both countries could reach a settlement. Qatar has long played the role of a conduit and mediator between the United States and Iran. Recent efforts are aimed at reducing tensions between the two countries and preventing a major conflict in the region. However, the Qatari Prime Minister’s statement did not provide details of the proposed agreement, its potential points, or a timeline for reaching a final consensus. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has stated that positive progress is being made toward ending the ongoing conflict with Iran, and the likelihood of renewed military action in the Middle East currently appears low. This statement comes following a meeting with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, during which matters concerning Iran were discussed in detail. In a statement on his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump said that his meeting with the Prime Minister of Qatar went very well, and that several important issues—including Iran—were discussed. The US President claimed that Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and other countries support maintaining the current situation. According to them, the priority for these countries is to maintain the US naval blockade against Iran and the new military operation, “Iron Gate,” which encompasses both land and maritime fronts. Trump stated that all relevant countries agree that Iran must not be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons, and that there can be no compromise on this matter. Trump warned that the United States is fully prepared to take action should the situation in the Middle East change. However, according to him, the likelihood of renewed military action at present is very low. He claimed that Israel and the entire Middle East are safe from the threats posed by Iran. The US President stated that positive progress is being made toward ending the war, and that the United States will ensure the protection of its national interests. Qatar is playing a key role in diplomatic efforts to reduce tensions between Iran and the United States and to facilitate a potential agreement. The meeting between Trump and the Qatari Prime Minister is also significant in the context of these efforts. However, despite the US President’s statement, no formal date was announced for a definitive agreement with Iran or for the end of the war. There has also been no independent verification of the claims regarding the Gulf states’ support for a blockade and a new operation. By initiating a war with Iran, the US President has landed himself in a major predicament. He has lost his popularity in the midterm elections, and the American public has rejected him. Furthermore, following its defeat at the hands of Iran, the United States has lost its standing and respect globally. American Democrats believe that Trump has shattered the claim of the United States being a superpower. Meanwhile, the Iranian leadership remains prepared for any kind of attack while simultaneously insisting that the U.S. meet their legitimate demands; they do not intend to wage war. Trump has claimed that the US has destroyed Iran’s navy, air force, air defense system, and leadership. Trump has made another rather crude claim: that Iran now wants to reach an agreement with the United States. The U.S. President also mentioned ‘Parchin Mountain’ in connection with Iran’s nuclear program, stating that if Iran carries out any activity there, the U.S. might have to launch an attack on that site. However, he stated that, for the time being, the United States does not see any evidence of such activity. Trump reiterated his stance that Iran cannot be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons, as he believes Iran might use them. It is astonishing that Trump is making a claim that has neither head nor tail. The Iranian leadership has repeatedly stated that Iran is not developing an atomic bomb; however, by fabricating a false claim—much like the one regarding Iraq’s chemical weapons—the United States is attempting to treat Iran in the exact same manner. It is said that during the Iran-Iraq War, the United States itself supplied Saddam Hussein with “chemical weapons,” which he used on a limited scale against Iran. At the time, the United States feared that Iraq might have stockpiled chemical weapons to use against it if the need arose; on this pretext, Iraq was completely devastated. Today, that same United States is planning an offensive against Iran—citing an atomic bomb that Iran does not even possess. Trump said that, in addition to the Prime Minister of Qatar, he has also held discussions with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Kuwait. According to them, these countries prefer to continue the current military strategy rather than launch further major attacks on Iran. Evidently, Iran has clearly stated that if it is attacked, it will retaliate by targeting U.S. installations located in those countries. This could also pose a threat to the integrity of the aforementioned Arab countries; for this reason, these nations are urging the United States not to attack Iran. These Arabs have also come to realize that if Iran launches attacks, the United States will not be able to stop them, and it is these Middle Eastern countries that will suffer the losses. On the other hand, the United States is also concerned about a retaliatory strike from Iran. In light of a new security threat concerning Iran, the United States has relocated military aircraft from a second airbase in the United Kingdom as well. The U.S. military has relocated several refueling aircraft to Germany and other locations, while security has been further tightened at two major U.S. air bases in the United Kingdom. According to the American newspaper The Wall Street Journal and the news agency Reuters, this operation was carried out at the Royal Air Force Mildenhall airbase in England. According to reports, U.S. officials received information regarding a potential threat linked to Iran, following which a decision was made to relocate the aircraft to safe locations. Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, has demanded that the United States accept the seven conditions presented by Tehran for ending the war. Delivering a stern message to Washington, he stated that the time has come to surrender to Iran’s demands. In a statement on the social media platform X, Mohsen Rezaei criticized the U.S. government, stating that the war against Iran has already inflicted severe damage upon it; yet, like a desperate gambler, Washington continues to persist in its efforts. In his statement, Rezaei called on the United States to stop spreading reports about unrealistic negotiations and to acknowledge the new regional situation emerging in West Asia. They emphasized that the United States should accept the seven conditions repeatedly put forward by Iran—conditions that Tehran has maintained are necessary for ending the conflict. This statement by Mohsen Rezaei has emerged at a time when diplomatic contacts and mediation efforts are underway to end the war between the United States and Iran. Iran’s Arab neighbors believe that an attack on Iran would, in effect, be an attack on them; for the sake of their own integrity, these nations are making strenuous efforts to prevent any further confrontation between the United States and Iran. To what extent these Arab rulers succeed will become clear in the coming days.